Mergers & Acquisitions

Kurs "Mergers & Acquisitions" im Herbstsemester 2014/15 an der Universität Freiburg

Kurs "Mergers & Acquisitions" im Herbstsemester 2014/15 an der Universität Freiburg


K. Z.
This flashcard set covers advanced university-level concepts in finance, focusing on mergers, acquisitions, and leveraged buyouts. It delves into various strategies, such as financial restructuring, deal financing, and the valuation of firms, using keywords like merger, stock, price, and equity. The set also explores the implications of leverage, tax benefits, and the role of cash flows in these transactions. Ideal for finance students or professionals seeking to understand the complexities of M&A deals and their financial engineering aspects.
Karten
127
Lernende
1
Sprache
Englisch
Kategorie
Finanzen
Stufe
Universität
Erstellt / Aktualisiert
29.12.2014 / 29.12.2014

Lernkarten

I. Introduction

Topics:

  • Basic terminology
  • Types of mergers
  • Risk arbitrage
  • Importance of M&A and recent deals
  • Merger outlook
  • Legal framework

Definition of merger (3)

  • Negotiated deal
  • Mostly friendly parties
  • Mutually agreeable decision to combine companies

Tender offer (3)

  • Direct offer to shareholders to tender (sell) their shares at a specified price
  • Obtaining >50% of shares (Approval required)
  • Friendly or hostile

Types of tender offers (4)

  • Conditional or unconditional
    • e.g. min. 50% interest
  • Restricted or unrestricted
    • e.g. 70%, "any-or-all"
  • Contested offer
  • Two-tier offer or three-piece suitor: e.g.
    • Initial toehold
    • 1st tier for cash (to obtain >50% interest)
    • 2nd tier at a lower value (often paid in dept securities)

Problem of minority shareholders (2)

If buyout not completed:

  • Freeze-in problem
  • Possible legal actions

Solution: Minority squeeze-out

Types of mergers (3)

  • Horizontal
  • Vertical
  • Conglomerate

Horizontal merger (3)

  • Same kind of business
  • Benefits from economies of scale and synergies
  • Government regulation due to fear of monopoly power

Vertical merger (2)

  • Firms of different stage of production/operation
  • Benefits from information- and transaction efficiency (e.g. inventory, production, prices, procurement)

Conglomerate merger + 3 types

  • Firms in unrelated type of business
  • 3 types:
    • Product extension
    • Geographic market extension
    • Pure conglomerate mergers

Types of conglomerates (4)

  • Investment companies (e.g. Mutual funds)
    • Diversify PF risk
  • Financial conglomerates
    • Provide funds
  • Managerial conglomerates
    • Control operating decisions
  • Concentric companies
    • Related business

Legal types of mergers (3)

  • Statutory merger
    • Basic form
    • Requires legal procedures (e.g. percentage of vote from shareholders, board approval)
    • A+B=A, A+B=B or A+B=C
  • Short-form merger
    • Streamlined legal procedures
    • No shareholder approval required
    • Typically interest >90%
  • Holding company
    • Subsidiaries as seperate legal entities
    • Holding has controlling interest 25-50%

Risk arbitrage in M&A (3) + Annual return for risk arbitrageur

  • Buying stock of takeover targets after public announcement and holding shares until deal is closed
  • Bet that deal will be completed
  • Bear deal risk

Existing shareholders can hold their shares until deal is closed to receive the offered price or they can sell their shares to a risk arbitrageur. His annual return would be:

\(r=(1+{Offered Price-Actual Price \over Actual Price})^{365 \over Days}-1\)

Number and value of M&A transactions worldwide

See chart

Number and value of M&A transactions in Switzerland

See chart

II. Empirical Results on M&A Activities

Topics:

  • Historical development
  • Merger waves
  • Factors motivating & driving merger waves

Historical merger waves (5)

  1. Horizontal mergers 1895-1904
  2. Vertical mergers 1922-1929
  3. Conglomerate mergers 1965-1970
  4. Deal decade 1981-1989
  5. Strategic mergers 1992-2000

Factors that affect M&A activities (5/8)

  • Technological change (e.g. telephone, internet)
  • Economies of scale
  • Globalization and free trade
  • Legal and regulatory changes (e.g. deregulation)
  • Periods of high economic growth
  • Favorable stock prices and economic conditions
  • Input price volatility (e.g. oil industry)
  • Finance innovations (e.g. junk bonds)

1. Horizontal merger wave (4)

1895-1904

  • Technological, infrastructure and managerial improvements (e.g. railroads, electricity)
  • New products
  • Economies of scale
  • Availability of financiers and insurances

Cause of end: Recession 1903, anti-competitive merger ruling 1904

2. Vertical merger wave (3)

1922-1929

  • Innovations in transportation (motor vehicle), communication (radio), merchandising (mass distribution)
  • Product and market extension
  • Consolidation of fragmented industries

Cause of end: Economic slowdown 1929

3. Conglomerate merger wave (4)

1965-1970

  • Diversification
  • Product extension
  • Price earnings game
  • Rise of management theroy

Cause of end: Antitrust laws, punitive tax laws, decline in stock prices

Price earnings game

Buyer with a hight P/E ratio combines with a firm with a lower P/E ratio, the earnings per share (EPS) of the buyer will rise

Might work in the short run but never in the long run

See example p. 174-176

4. Deal decade wave (3/5)

1981-1989

  • Prospering economy and stock market
  • Increasing international competition (steel, auto)
  • New industries, technological and managerial innovations
  • Increasing hostile takeovers
  • Financial innovations (LBO, Bust-up acquisitions)

Cause of end: Government actions, takeover defenses, recession

LBO (4)

  • Purchase of firm with substantial share of dept (Strong incentive due to large ROE)
  • Replacement of top management
  • Improve operations and reduce dept
  • Sell firm through IPO

Bust-up acquisitions (3)

  • Seller's business parts are worth more as seperate entities than the whole
  • Divesting segments after acquisition
  • Use proceeds to reduce dept which were used to finance the transaction

5. Strategic merger wave (3/5)

1992-2000

  • Technology (computer, internet, fiber optics)
  • Globalization
  • Deregulation
  • Positive economic conditions (low interest rates, rising stock prices and P/E ratios)
  • Upcoming stock-for-stock transactions

Cause of end: Burst of internet bubble

The role of deregulations (2)

  • Leds to greater capacity utilization, lower firm costs and reduced customer prices
  • Followed by increase in merger activity, reorganizations and combined wealth (+3.5%)

III. Theoriy of M&A

Topics:

  • Why do mergers occur?
  • How can takeovers create value?
  • Performance of M&A transactions
  • Value split between acquirer & target
  • Reasons for M&A transactions
  • Strategy influences M&A outcomes

Business strategies (2)

  • Diversify or expand
  • Restructure, redeploy assets or exit

See chart

Motives for inorganic (external) growth (3/4)

  • Maturing products (lifecycle)
  • Regulatory or antitrust restriction
  • Value creation (through horizontal, vertical mergers or diversification)
  • If impossible to create internal: Acquisition of resources or capabilities

Motives for restructuring, redeployment or exit (4/7)

  • Strategic focus
  • Correction of mistakes (of divestitures)
  • Correction of market valuation of assets (underevalued)
  • Subsidization of inefficient units
  • Optimizing financial leverage
  • Respond to capital market discipline
  • Gain financing

4 reasons for mergers

  1. Rent-seeking behavior
    • Bargaining and market power, economies of scale / -scope
  2. Transaction costs
    • Information and contract costs, controlling
    • Make or buy decision, specialization gain
    • Coase framework: Firm must decide between internal or external production
  3. Managerial hubris & market mania
    • Excessive self-confidence of managers: Think they can manage everything
    • Fear of falling short
  4. Overevaluation & information asymmetry
    • Stock market run-up results in overevaluation
    • Managers have information advantage: Inside values differ from market valuation
    • Hold stocks as "acquisition currency" for share-for-share-deals

► Value increasing, -reducing, -neutral theories

Value increasing

  • Mergers optimize transaction costs
    • Appropriate balance of internal operations and external markets
  • Mergers create synergies (Bradley/Desai/Kim 1983/88)
    • Economies of scale, effective management, production, financial service
  • Takeovers are disciplinary (Manne 1965)
    • Remove poor management, improve performance, competition between different management teams

Value reducing

  • Agency costs of FCF (Jensen 1986)
    • Managers reinvest FCF, this can lead to value reducing mergers
  • Managerial entrenchment (Shleifer/Vishny 1989)
    • Increase manager's "value" to shareholders

Value neutral

  • Managerial hubris (Roll 1986)
    • Excessive self confidence
  • Winner's course problem
    • Manager that most overevaluates target wins bid
  • Mergers can occur even if there is no value effect
    • Wealth transfer from buyer's to seller's shareholders if bid is higher than target value

► Theoretical predictions of patterns of gain

See table

Problems during bidding process (4/5)

  1. Free-rider problem
  2. Preemptive bidding
  3. Winner's curse problem
  4. Bidding costs
  5. Limitation of number of bidders

1. Free-rider problem (2) + solutions (3)

  • If many small shareholders, each considers himself not decisive for the success of tender offer
  • Shareholder refuse to tender
  • Solution:
    • Large shareholders
    • Acquirer buys toehold
    • Two-tier offers

2. Preemptive bidding + 2 effects

High initial bid

  • Low chances for competitors
  • Competitors may avoid bid

► 3. Winner's curse problem (2) + solution (1)

  • Lack of full knowledge about target's value (asymmetric information)
  • Bidder pays too much
  • Solution:
    • Stock instead of cash offer (risk sharing)

4. Bidding costs (3)

Costs of making an acquisition

  1. Preemptive bidding
  2. Termination fee (break-up fee)
    • Compensation for bidder if initial agreement is terminated
  3. Toehold (initial stake)
    • Secret buying of shares (e.g. 5%)
    • Deter competitors from making bids

5. Seller decision (2)

Toehold

→ Seller can counteract by designing a favourable auction

Seller's costs

Costs: \(C={1 \over n}[E(V)-E(B)]\)

Number of bidders (n) influences seller costs:

\(E(B)=E(V)-n \times C\)

→ Seller can limit the number of bidders

Empirical results on returns of M&A (4)

Combined (1) + Target (3)

1. Combined returns positive (on average)

  • Mostly from Synergy and efficiency
  • But hubris, agency costs and managerial entrenchment possible

2. Target returns positive (almost always)

  • Cash deals > stock deals
  • Multiple bidders → higher return

3. Target stock run-ups (prior to announcement)

  • Toehold, rumours, insider trading

4. Higher premium from preemptive bids (proven)

 

 

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